Norway vs England Prediction
Win, draw and loss odds, a predicted scoreline and expected goals for Norway vs England at the 2026 World Cup — from Footsy's free Elo model. Quarter-finals, Miami Gardens, Florida.
· Miami Gardens, Florida
Expected goals 1.0 — 1.6 · Most likely 1-1 (12%) · Advances: NOR 28% / ENG 72%
Over 2.5 goals 48% · Both teams score 51%
No market data for this fixture yet.
Norway vs England: the prediction
Our Elo model makes England the favourite to progress, with a 54% chance to win in 90 minutes against Norway. The full split is Norway 19%, draw 27%, England 54% — based on ratings of 1990 and 2117.
Expected goals favour the England side (1.0 — 1.6), and the most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and 51% that both teams score. No live prediction market has priced this fixture yet.
All World Cup predictions
Predicted scorelines and win odds for every 2026 World Cup fixture, updated after each result.
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Norway vs England?
- Our Elo model makes England the favourite, with a 54% chance to win in 90 minutes (Norway 19%, draw 27%, England 54%). To advance, it has Norway 28% and England 72%. It is a statistical estimate for entertainment, not a betting tip.
- What is the predicted score for Norway vs England?
- The single most likely scoreline is Norway 1-1 England (12%), from a Poisson model built on expected goals of 1.0 and 1.6. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and 51% that both teams score.
- How is this World Cup prediction calculated?
- Each nation carries a World Football Elo rating that re-rates after every completed match. A fixture’s win expectancy follows the standard Elo formula over the rating gap (plus a host-nation bonus), a draw share is carved out for evenly matched sides, and expected goals feed a Poisson model for the scoreline. Where a Polymarket market exists we show its implied odds as an independent reference.
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