France vs England Prediction
Win, draw and loss odds, a predicted scoreline and expected goals for France vs England at the 2026 World Cup — from Footsy's free Elo model. Final, Miami Gardens, Florida.
· Miami Gardens, Florida
Expected goals 1.3 — 1.3 · Most likely 1-1 (13%) · Advances: FRA 50% / ENG 50%
Over 2.5 goals 48% · Both teams score 53%
No market data for this fixture yet.
France vs England: the prediction
Our Elo model makes France the favourite to progress, with a 36% chance to win in 90 minutes against England. The full split is France 36%, draw 28%, England 36% — based on ratings of 2114 and 2112.
Expected goals favour the France side (1.3 — 1.3), and the most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and 53% that both teams score. No live prediction market has priced this fixture yet.
All World Cup predictions
Predicted scorelines and win odds for every 2026 World Cup fixture, updated after each result.
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win France vs England?
- Our Elo model makes France the favourite, with a 36% chance to win in 90 minutes (France 36%, draw 28%, England 36%). To advance, it has France 50% and England 50%. It is a statistical estimate for entertainment, not a betting tip.
- What is the predicted score for France vs England?
- The single most likely scoreline is France 1-1 England (13%), from a Poisson model built on expected goals of 1.3 and 1.3. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and 53% that both teams score.
- How is this World Cup prediction calculated?
- Each nation carries a World Football Elo rating that re-rates after every completed match. A fixture’s win expectancy follows the standard Elo formula over the rating gap (plus a host-nation bonus), a draw share is carved out for evenly matched sides, and expected goals feed a Poisson model for the scoreline. Where a Polymarket market exists we show its implied odds as an independent reference.
Run a league with friends
Footsy hosts gasless on-chain mini-leagues — set one up in minutes. Fantasy Premier League contests return for the 2026/27 pre-season.
Join the Footsy community
Live World Cup match cards, model predictions and fantasy chat — follow along on X and jump into the Discord.