Uzbekistan vs Colombia Prediction
Win, draw and loss odds, a predicted scoreline and expected goals for Uzbekistan vs Colombia at the 2026 World Cup — from Footsy's free Elo model. Group Stage · Matchday 1, Mexico City.
Mexico City
Expected goals 0.7 — 1.9 · Most likely 0-1 (14%)
Model gave the COL win 69% before kickoff.
Uzbekistan vs Colombia: the prediction
This Group Stage · Matchday 1 match finished Uzbekistan 1-3 Colombia. Before kickoff, our Elo model rated it UZB 7% / draw 24% / COL 69%, with a most likely scoreline of 0-1.
Expected goals favour the Colombia side (0.7 — 1.9), and the most likely scoreline is 0-1 (14%). There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and 44% that both teams score. No live prediction market has priced this fixture yet.
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Predicted scorelines and win odds for every 2026 World Cup fixture, updated after each result.
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Uzbekistan vs Colombia?
- Our Elo model makes Colombia the favourite, with a 69% chance to win in 90 minutes (Uzbekistan 7%, draw 24%, Colombia 69%). It is a statistical estimate for entertainment, not a betting tip.
- What is the predicted score for Uzbekistan vs Colombia?
- The single most likely scoreline is Uzbekistan 0-1 Colombia (14%), from a Poisson model built on expected goals of 0.7 and 1.9. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and 44% that both teams score.
- How is this World Cup prediction calculated?
- Each nation carries a World Football Elo rating that re-rates after every completed match. A fixture’s win expectancy follows the standard Elo formula over the rating gap (plus a host-nation bonus), a draw share is carved out for evenly matched sides, and expected goals feed a Poisson model for the scoreline. Where a Polymarket market exists we show its implied odds as an independent reference.
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