Türkiye vs Paraguay Prediction
Win, draw and loss odds, a predicted scoreline and expected goals for Türkiye vs Paraguay at the 2026 World Cup — from Footsy's free Elo model. Group Stage · Matchday 2, Santa Clara, California.
Santa Clara, California
Expected goals 1.3 — 1.3 · Most likely 1-1 (13%)
Model gave the PAR win 33% before kickoff.
Türkiye vs Paraguay: the prediction
This Group Stage · Matchday 2 match finished Türkiye 0-1 Paraguay. Before kickoff, our Elo model rated it TUR 39% / draw 28% / PAR 33%, with a most likely scoreline of 1-1.
Expected goals favour the Türkiye side (1.3 — 1.3), and the most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and 53% that both teams score. No live prediction market has priced this fixture yet.
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Predicted scorelines and win odds for every 2026 World Cup fixture, updated after each result.
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Türkiye vs Paraguay?
- Our Elo model makes Türkiye the favourite, with a 39% chance to win in 90 minutes (Türkiye 39%, draw 28%, Paraguay 33%). It is a statistical estimate for entertainment, not a betting tip.
- What is the predicted score for Türkiye vs Paraguay?
- The single most likely scoreline is Türkiye 1-1 Paraguay (13%), from a Poisson model built on expected goals of 1.3 and 1.3. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and 53% that both teams score.
- How is this World Cup prediction calculated?
- Each nation carries a World Football Elo rating that re-rates after every completed match. A fixture’s win expectancy follows the standard Elo formula over the rating gap (plus a host-nation bonus), a draw share is carved out for evenly matched sides, and expected goals feed a Poisson model for the scoreline. Where a Polymarket market exists we show its implied odds as an independent reference.
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