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FIFA World Cup 2026

Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Prediction

Win, draw and loss odds, a predicted scoreline and expected goals for Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina at the 2026 World Cup — from Footsy's free Elo model. Group Stage · Matchday 2, Inglewood, California.

Switzerland41Bosnia and Herzegovina

Inglewood, California

SUI winDrawBIH win
62%
26%
SUI 62% (1851)Draw 26%BIH 13% (1665)

Expected goals 1.70.9 · Most likely 1-0 (13%)

Model gave the SUI win 62% before kickoff.

Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina: the prediction

This Group Stage · Matchday 2 match finished Switzerland 4-1 Bosnia and Herzegovina. Before kickoff, our Elo model rated it SUI 62% / draw 26% / BIH 13%, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0.

Expected goals favour the Switzerland side (1.70.9), and the most likely scoreline is 1-0 (13%). There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and 48% that both teams score. No live prediction market has priced this fixture yet.

🇨🇭 Switzerland squad🇧🇦 Bosnia and Herzegovina squadGroup B table

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Predicted scorelines and win odds for every 2026 World Cup fixture, updated after each result.

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Frequently asked questions

Who will win Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Our Elo model makes Switzerland the favourite, with a 62% chance to win in 90 minutes (Switzerland 62%, draw 26%, Bosnia and Herzegovina 13%). It is a statistical estimate for entertainment, not a betting tip.
What is the predicted score for Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina?
The single most likely scoreline is Switzerland 1-0 Bosnia and Herzegovina (13%), from a Poisson model built on expected goals of 1.7 and 0.9. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and 48% that both teams score.
How is this World Cup prediction calculated?
Each nation carries a World Football Elo rating that re-rates after every completed match. A fixture’s win expectancy follows the standard Elo formula over the rating gap (plus a host-nation bonus), a draw share is carved out for evenly matched sides, and expected goals feed a Poisson model for the scoreline. Where a Polymarket market exists we show its implied odds as an independent reference.

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