Colombia vs Portugal Prediction
Win, draw and loss odds, a predicted scoreline and expected goals for Colombia vs Portugal at the 2026 World Cup — from Footsy's free Elo model. Group Stage · Matchday 3, Miami Gardens, Florida.
Miami Gardens, Florida
Expected goals 1.2 — 1.4 · Most likely 1-1 (13%)
Model gave the draw 28% before kickoff.
Colombia vs Portugal: the prediction
This Group Stage · Matchday 3 match finished Colombia 0-0 Portugal. Before kickoff, our Elo model rated it COL 32% / draw 28% / POR 40%, with a most likely scoreline of 1-1.
Expected goals favour the Portugal side (1.2 — 1.4), and the most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and 53% that both teams score. No live prediction market has priced this fixture yet.
All World Cup predictions
Predicted scorelines and win odds for every 2026 World Cup fixture, updated after each result.
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Colombia vs Portugal?
- Our Elo model makes Portugal the favourite, with a 40% chance to win in 90 minutes (Colombia 32%, draw 28%, Portugal 40%). It is a statistical estimate for entertainment, not a betting tip.
- What is the predicted score for Colombia vs Portugal?
- The single most likely scoreline is Colombia 1-1 Portugal (13%), from a Poisson model built on expected goals of 1.2 and 1.4. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and 53% that both teams score.
- How is this World Cup prediction calculated?
- Each nation carries a World Football Elo rating that re-rates after every completed match. A fixture’s win expectancy follows the standard Elo formula over the rating gap (plus a host-nation bonus), a draw share is carved out for evenly matched sides, and expected goals feed a Poisson model for the scoreline. Where a Polymarket market exists we show its implied odds as an independent reference.
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