Canada vs Qatar Prediction
Win, draw and loss odds, a predicted scoreline and expected goals for Canada vs Qatar at the 2026 World Cup — from Footsy's free Elo model. Group Stage · Matchday 2, Vancouver.
Vancouver
Expected goals 1.9 — 0.7 · Most likely 1-0 (14%)
Model gave the CAN win 72% before kickoff.
Canada vs Qatar: the prediction
This Group Stage · Matchday 2 match finished Canada 6-0 Qatar. Before kickoff, our Elo model rated it CAN 72% / draw 23% / QAT 5%, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0.
Expected goals favour the Canada side (1.9 — 0.7), and the most likely scoreline is 1-0 (14%). There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and 41% that both teams score. No live prediction market has priced this fixture yet.
All World Cup predictions
Predicted scorelines and win odds for every 2026 World Cup fixture, updated after each result.
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Canada vs Qatar?
- Our Elo model makes Canada the favourite, with a 72% chance to win in 90 minutes (Canada 72%, draw 23%, Qatar 5%). It is a statistical estimate for entertainment, not a betting tip.
- What is the predicted score for Canada vs Qatar?
- The single most likely scoreline is Canada 1-0 Qatar (14%), from a Poisson model built on expected goals of 1.9 and 0.7. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and 41% that both teams score.
- How is this World Cup prediction calculated?
- Each nation carries a World Football Elo rating that re-rates after every completed match. A fixture’s win expectancy follows the standard Elo formula over the rating gap (plus a host-nation bonus), a draw share is carved out for evenly matched sides, and expected goals feed a Poisson model for the scoreline. Where a Polymarket market exists we show its implied odds as an independent reference.
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