Argentina vs Switzerland Prediction
Win, draw and loss odds, a predicted scoreline and expected goals for Argentina vs Switzerland at the 2026 World Cup — from Footsy's free Elo model. Quarter-finals, Kansas City, Missouri.
· Kansas City, Missouri
Expected goals 1.9 — 0.7 · Most likely 1-0 (14%) · Advances: ARG 88% / SUI 12%
Over 2.5 goals 48% · Both teams score 44%
No market data for this fixture yet.
Argentina vs Switzerland: the prediction
Our Elo model makes Argentina the favourite to progress, with a 68% chance to win in 90 minutes against Switzerland. The full split is Argentina 68%, draw 24%, Switzerland 8% — based on ratings of 2182 and 1939.
Expected goals favour the Argentina side (1.9 — 0.7), and the most likely scoreline is 1-0 (14%). There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and 44% that both teams score. No live prediction market has priced this fixture yet.
All World Cup predictions
Predicted scorelines and win odds for every 2026 World Cup fixture, updated after each result.
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Argentina vs Switzerland?
- Our Elo model makes Argentina the favourite, with a 68% chance to win in 90 minutes (Argentina 68%, draw 24%, Switzerland 8%). To advance, it has Argentina 88% and Switzerland 12%. It is a statistical estimate for entertainment, not a betting tip.
- What is the predicted score for Argentina vs Switzerland?
- The single most likely scoreline is Argentina 1-0 Switzerland (14%), from a Poisson model built on expected goals of 1.9 and 0.7. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and 44% that both teams score.
- How is this World Cup prediction calculated?
- Each nation carries a World Football Elo rating that re-rates after every completed match. A fixture’s win expectancy follows the standard Elo formula over the rating gap (plus a host-nation bonus), a draw share is carved out for evenly matched sides, and expected goals feed a Poisson model for the scoreline. Where a Polymarket market exists we show its implied odds as an independent reference.
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