Algeria vs Austria Prediction
Win, draw and loss odds, a predicted scoreline and expected goals for Algeria vs Austria at the 2026 World Cup — from Footsy's free Elo model. Group Stage · Matchday 3, Kansas City, Missouri.
Kansas City, Missouri
Expected goals 0.9 — 1.7 · Most likely 0-1 (12%)
Model gave the draw 26% before kickoff.
Algeria vs Austria: the prediction
This Group Stage · Matchday 3 match finished Algeria 3-3 Austria. Before kickoff, our Elo model rated it ALG 15% / draw 26% / AUT 59%, with a most likely scoreline of 0-1.
Expected goals favour the Austria side (0.9 — 1.7), and the most likely scoreline is 0-1 (12%). There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and 49% that both teams score. No live prediction market has priced this fixture yet.
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Predicted scorelines and win odds for every 2026 World Cup fixture, updated after each result.
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Algeria vs Austria?
- Our Elo model makes Austria the favourite, with a 59% chance to win in 90 minutes (Algeria 15%, draw 26%, Austria 59%). It is a statistical estimate for entertainment, not a betting tip.
- What is the predicted score for Algeria vs Austria?
- The single most likely scoreline is Algeria 0-1 Austria (12%), from a Poisson model built on expected goals of 0.9 and 1.7. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and 49% that both teams score.
- How is this World Cup prediction calculated?
- Each nation carries a World Football Elo rating that re-rates after every completed match. A fixture’s win expectancy follows the standard Elo formula over the rating gap (plus a host-nation bonus), a draw share is carved out for evenly matched sides, and expected goals feed a Poisson model for the scoreline. Where a Polymarket market exists we show its implied odds as an independent reference.
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